Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 3.484841 3.869925 4.287764 4.776109 5.332801 5.949495 6.686917
2025-06-01 2.886396 3.391399 3.977977 4.714372 5.620722 6.708290 8.124899
2025-06-08 2.518935 3.083041 3.771737 4.683799 5.874022 7.394206 9.514848
2025-06-15 2.335946 2.957883 3.749577 4.846937 6.353568 8.387049 11.405036
2025-06-22 2.126704 2.767257 3.610600 4.823964 6.561596 9.018623 12.864769
2025-06-29 1.947642 2.593995 3.470025 4.772015 6.707172 9.559795 14.246810
2025-07-06 1.737775 2.357528 3.217101 4.528366 6.536964 9.600757 14.841994
2025-07-13 1.636819 2.263836 3.154837 4.552166 6.762887 10.262185 16.519817
2025-07-20 1.566266 2.206718 3.138329 4.639162 7.090174 11.115158 18.641733
2025-07-27 1.507002 2.160507 3.132326 4.738573 7.443053 12.046121 21.041948
2025-08-03 1.445058 2.104860 3.106086 4.800562 7.735925 12.903280 23.436604
2025-08-10 1.382231 2.042854 3.064146 4.830897 7.973933 13.685842 25.808356
2025-08-17 1.285882 1.923782 2.925500 4.690874 7.903538 13.904289 27.095592
2025-08-24 1.215099 1.840920 2.839724 4.634351 7.978952 14.410133 29.090240
2025-08-31 1.155921 1.772864 2.773203 4.605093 8.100585 15.019650 31.426510
2025-09-07 1.135888 1.767439 2.810772 4.765063 8.600921 16.464798 36.003647
2025-09-14 1.085861 1.708597 2.752431 4.742578 8.736877 17.157795 38.885409
2025-09-21 1.035149 1.645529 2.682368 4.691682 8.808703 17.718337 41.542759
2025-09-28 0.958786 1.534386 2.520744 4.452926 8.466619 17.305791 41.518259
2025-10-05 0.927770 1.500298 2.494868 4.476251 8.682016 18.204287 45.313547
2025-10-12 0.907721 1.484211 2.500322 4.561504 9.039794 19.489384 50.530982
2025-10-19 0.890377 1.471839 2.511565 4.658916 9.434736 20.923887 56.576111
2025-10-26 0.869018 1.450973 2.505423 4.719654 9.752428 22.211515 62.512644